Sports betting can be very profitable if anyone know the strategies the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Virginia had often the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there have been a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on that game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This video game provides all the signals of being one connected with the greatest games associated with the year, having each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having West Virginia coming backside from staying down large in the independence day one fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport look like this year?
When this video game were getting played in the simple field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the difference between the push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.
Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since December 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. five points each game in the home, while hitting only letting go of 15. seven points for every game from home. In case a person failed to do the mathematics, that means since their own last home decline they are yet to averaged beating their particular oppositions by way of about 34 details per game.
In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home considering that the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s just how…
Nearly all of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. UFABET possessed recent games where they also have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. Many people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still a new close video game to contact. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this specific game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better game titles this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they could very well still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific game, people critical with regards to sports betting saved money they can offer better make use of on approaching games.